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Home Sales Volume and Price Peaks:
Homes sold in California, per month, from September 2003-present, with accompanying analysis and predictions. |
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Tracking the Market:
The value of stocks in the market, represented by the S&P 500 index, is contrasted with the price/earnings (PE) ratio, along with first tuesday insight and forecasting. |
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CA Home Values 1989-Present:
Tiered pricing from the Case-Shiller index, comparing the prices of all homes in San Diego, Los Angeles, and San Francisco over the past twenty years. |
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Jobs Move Real Estate:
The past and future of jobs in California: current, detailed employment numbers for the state and its biggest counties. |
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CA Unemployment 1976-Present:
The dark side of Jobs Move Real Estate: the unemployed percentage of the labor force, with analysis of the vital role jobs play in the market at large. |
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Monthly Residential Construction:
New homes constructed in California on a monthly basis, displaying trends in the construction of new single-family residences (SFRs) and Apartments/Condos. |
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Annual Residential Construction:
New homes constructed in California on a yearly basis, displaying trends in the construction of new single-family residences (SFRs) and Apartments/Condos. |
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Homeownership Statewide
The rate of single-family homeownership in California since 1990. |
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Homeownership by Age in the Western Census Region:
2009′s rate of single-family homeownership in the western region, broken down by age group. |
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Rental Vacancies Statewide:
The rental vacancy rate in California from 1990-present, courtesy of the United States Census Bureau. |
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State population over 65:
The total California population of “Senior Citizens,” citizens aged 65 and over, from 1980-present, with first tuesday projections based on the current population of Baby BoomersThe post-WWII generation responsible for a sharp increase in the U.S. population. Their collective activities have a sizeable effect on the market.. |
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First Time Homebuyers and New Housing:
The annual number of 1st time homebuyers, aged 25-34, with the construction of single- and multi-family residences from 1980, with first tuesday forecasts. |
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ARM Ratio in the Market:
The ratio of adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) to all loans originated in the United States. |
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Personal Bankruptcy in CA:
California’s annual number of personal bankruptcies filed, and a brief explanation of bankruptcy’s often-overlooked tie to homeownership. |
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NODs and Trustee’s Deeds:
Notices of Default (NODs) issued quarterly, from 1994-present, giving an in-depth look at foreclosures past and future. |
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How CA’s Mighty Have Fared, One Year On:
The number of agents employed by California’s 30 largest brokers in July 2008 and August 2009. |
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Trends in Homebuyer Sentiment:
Homebuyer opinion on the housing market and personal financial conditions |
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Broker and Agent Population:
The total number of DRE-licensed brokers and sales agents in California from 2001-2009. |
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Broker and Agent Licensing:
The number of sales agent and and broker licenses issued by the California Department of Real Estate from 1997-present. |
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Rate of Population Growth:
The rate of population growth for California since 1990, compared with growth rates for the entire nation. |
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REIT Values and Returns:
Historical Values and Returns from all US Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs). |
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Buyer Purchasing Power:
The buyer’s ability to purchase a home, as influenced by the annual change in federal rates. |
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The Yield Spread:
An essential tool used to predict economic conditions affecting the real estate market. |
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91-Day Treasury BillThe rate used by sellers to impute and report interest when a seller is not paid interest on their 1031 monies. —Average Auction Rate:
Used to determine the minimum interest rate the seller must impute in a delayed §1031 transactionA sales transaction in which sales proceeds are reinvested in a replacement like-kind property, the profits of which are untaxed.. |
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3-Month Treasury Bill:
The base price of borrowing money in the short-term, used to determine the yield spread. |
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10-Year T-Bonds —Average Market Yield:
Indicates the direction of future FHLMC rates. |
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Average 30-Year Conventional Commitment Rate:
The 30-year rate at which a lender commits to lend mortgage money in the United States-West as reported by FHLMC. |
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Average 15-Year Conventional Commitment Rate:
The 15-year rate at which a lender commits to lend mortgage money in the United States-West as reported by FHLMC. |
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6-Month Treasury Bill —
Average Auction Rate:
The ARM interest rate equals the 6-month T-Bill rate (at time of adjustment or an average of several prior rates), plus the lender’s profit margin. |
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Treasury Securities Avg. Yield — 1-Year Constant Maturity:
The ARM interest rate equals T-Bill yield, plus the lender’s profit margin. The index is an average of T-Bill yields with maturities adjusted to one year. |
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12-Month Treasury Average:
The ARM interest rate equals T-Bill average yield plus the lender’s profit margin. The index is an average of the one-year T-Bill rates for the past 12 months. |
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Cost-of-Funds Index (11th FHLBB District):
The ARM interest rate equals the Cost-of-Funds, plus the lender’s profit margin. The current index reflects the cost of funds two months’ prior in the Unites States-West. |
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Combined average rates and 12 month treasury average:
The average 15- and 30-year conventional commitment rates as reported by the FHLMC, superimposed with the 12 month treasury average. |
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London Inter-Bank Offered Rate:
The ARM interest rate equals the LIBOR rate plus the lender’s profit margin. The rate is set by the banks in London, England. |
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Prime Rate:
The prime rate is used by banks to price short-term business loans and set ARMs. |
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Discount RateThe interest rate the Federal ReserveThe central bank in control of regulating the U.S. financial and monetary system. charges banks and thrifts who borrow funds directly from the Fed to maintain reserve requirements. —
Federal ReserveThe central bank in control of regulating the U.S. financial and monetary system. Bank of San Francisco:
Usury law limits the annual interest yield on nonexempt loans to 10%, or the discount rateThe interest rate the Federal ReserveThe central bank in control of regulating the U.S. financial and monetary system. charges banks and thrifts who borrow funds directly from the Fed to maintain reserve requirements. plus 5%, whichever is greater. |
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Applicable Federal Rates:
Determines minimum interest yield reportable on carryback financing. The AFR category is determined by the carryback due dateThe date provided in the rental or lease agreement on which rental payments are due.. |