Negative equity solved on demand

Falling Prices Ahead
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The big picture of negative equity in U.S. real estate is enough to make a grown broker cry, and most are. Total negative equity in the U.S. has now surpassed $4 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRBSL).

Related article:

Negative equity prolongs recovery

The average loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of leveraged homeowners nationwide is 94.3% — much higher than the “preferred” LTV of 58.4%, which was the average LTV among homeowners spanning the period from 1970 to 2005, as reported by the FRBSL. Using the preferred LTV figure, the FRBSL argues that home prices would have to increase by 62% to bring nationwide homeowner equity back to historical equilibrium levels.

The cost of a government-backed principal reduction program to return nationwide LTV averages back to equilibrium would be $3.7 trillion. Thus, the FRBSL is dubious that the government will step in with enough power to correct the real estate market and instead insists upon an organic market approach to solving the negative equity crisis (which, of course, was brought on by the financial accelerator effect fueled by mortgage lenders).

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