What comes after foreclosure
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Everyone knows about the pain experienced by a homeowner in a foreclosure or short sale. But when the dust is settled and the home is lost for good, what becomes of displaced owners?
We, the displaced
Over 800,000 former homeowners have lost homes to foreclosure in California since the end of 2007, and each has a story to tell. An estimated 15,000-20,000 owners take the short sale alternative each month to rid themselves of their negative equity, black hole homes.
The hardships of being forced from a home, for whatever reason, go beyond a mere reduction in credit score. Families are displaced from their residences, have very likely suffered a concurrent blow to income, and in many cases are required to make serious alterations to their standard and mode of living.
In their vast numbers, however, homeowners wiped out by foreclosure or short sale represent not only the past of California homeownership, but its future. The decisions of these former homeowners will be a major factor determining the fate of California’s real estate market.
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I strongly believe you have only touched the tip of the iceberg regarding the long term effects on the economy and families that has been caused by foreclosure and short sales. There is proof that the foreclosures and short sales have caused more divorces, suicides, and a lack of self esteem by traditional family providers, plus a significant effect on the children living at home. I don’t believe we fully understand the long term effects on children who have experienced the loss of their home, divorces, lack of respect for family providers who they may viewed as “failing”, and their loss of childhood friends and the embarrasement they had to endure.
I believe the government statistics are bogus. Individuals who have lost a home to foreclosure or had a “short sale” have severally damaged their credit. They need a credit rating to rent a home, to even get a job and certainly to buy a home. Our archaic credit laws will deprive the vast majority from actively participating in our economy and buying a new home for 7 years. Because they did not just lose their home, the also incurred other unpaid debts, and they have other debtors and this will be forced into the Cash Economy. We already have 47% of the population that does not pay federal and state taxes, and the addition of this large group of “foreclosed” homeowners will by necessity contribute to this nation wide problem. The effects of this Great Recession (stupid name) will effect this country and the economy for the next 20 – 30 years, just as the Great Depression changed they way American lived until after the end of the Second World War. We will see new auto sales suffer, home building suffer, savings rate decline, a loss in net worth of older families, more government assistance, and even a decline in the youth of our country attending colleges, because the primary savings vehicle (home ownership) for retirement and our children’s education has been destroyed.
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Another great article by FT. Regarding David’s point about the homeowners severely damaging their credit rating and ability to buy a home. The homeowners who realistically assess their situation and determine that they cannot afford to keep a dead “asset” and get out before they bury themselves into a debt trap come out in much better shape financially. The can save money by strategically defaulting and end up with enough to make a down payment on a property at half their current mortgage. FHA guidelines allow for them to rebuy within three years. There are even cases where homeowners used their short sale incentive payments as a downpayment for a new house.
We will also see a return to owner-financing such as lease-options and subject to deals – and with many of these types of deals credit will not be that important or totally irrelevant if the prospective buyer has a decent downpayment. FT has some great articles related to owner-financing that are well worth checking out.
But it certainly will change the homebuying landscape for many years to come.
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