Where have all the houses gone?

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Part II of this article series answers several common agent questions about inventory, like: why can’t I find homes for my buyer-occupant clients? Will low housing inventory pull us out of the recovery?

first tuesday also writes a prescription for California’s housing recovery.

For a synopsis of what is needed to foster organic buyer-occupant demand, see Part I of this article series.

Where is the inventory going to come from?

In case you remain unconvinced lack of buyer-occupant demand is the primary obstacle blocking California’s real estate recovery, and instead are concerned by the low housing supply, not to worry. The housing inventory is not about to dry up anytime soon.

When inventory is actually lacking you will observe two reactions:

  • home prices rising for a sustained period, (beyond six months); and
  • positive and negative equity owners listing their home for sale, brought out by rising prices.

Neither is true today. In the current bumpy plateau recovery, home prices rise and fall from month to month, with no signs of a continuous upward recovery. Similarly, distressed sales still dominate the market, as equity levels have not risen sufficiently to buoy traditional sales.

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